Real Estate New York

Market Update November 2007

Run the Numbers Before Investing in Property

People talk about running the numbers before buying an investment property, but what are the numbers and how do you get accurate numbers? Running the wrong numbers can make the difference of making $500 or losing $1000 per month. In this article, we will go through the costs and factors to consider making your investments successful.

In addition, a free rental property investment calculator is provided by the author

Click for complete article by Kimbrough Gray

Getting Ready to Own Your New Home


10 Steps to Prepare for Homeownership

1.  Decide how much home you can afford. Generally, you can afford a home equal in value to between two and three times your gross income.

2.  Develop a wish list of what you'd like your home to have. Then prioritize the features on your list.

3.  Select three or four neighborhoods you'd like to live in. Consider items such as schools, recreational facilities, area expansion plans, and safety.

4.  Determine if you have enough saved to cover your downpayment and closing costs. Closing costs, including taxes, attorney's fee, and transfer fees average between 2% and 7% of the home price.

5.  Get your credit in order. Obtain a copy of your credit report.

6.  Determine how large a mortgage you can qualify for. Also explore different loans options and decide what's best for you.

7.  Organize all the documentation a lender will need to preapprove you for a loan.

8.  Do research to determine if you qualify for any special mortgage or downpayment-assistance programs.

9.  Calculate the costs of homeownership, including property taxes, insurance, maintenance, and association fees, if applicable.

10.  Find an experienced REALTOR who can help you through the process.

It's a buyer's market, so why are so many buyers not buying?

After all, the government has been working to make homes more affordable. There's an array of recent actions in buyers' favor, from Congress working to expand Federal Housing Administration insurance, to raising the loan buyback limits for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has lowered short-term target borrowing rates, which impacts consumer interest rates on mortgage loans, among other things.

While mortgage applications have risen modestly on lower mortgage interest rates, many buyers continue to bench themselves, waiting for rates and housing prices to dip lower. With all the housing market hubbub in the papers and on TV, they might be struggling to sort out the facts.

Here are some of the reasons buyers have been reluctant:

  • Bad press. Headlines in the media bombard buyers with news about a housing slump, skyrocketing foreclosure rates, and falling home prices in some markets — not exactly the type of headlines that give buyers reassurance.

  • Better deals if they wait? Some buyers believe prices will drop farther if they just hold out a little longer in purchasing a home. In an article from MarketWatch, “ Fed's Bernanke Predicts Further Mortgage Turmoil ,” Bernanke feeds that notion by saying "more delinquencies and foreclosures can be expected in the subprime, adjustable-rate mortgage market as borrowers face interest-rate resets." Buyers translate this as "Wait to buy! As more homes come on the market, you could get a better deal!"

  • Shaken confidence. In a recent speech about the economy, President Bush cited "some unsettling times" in the U.S. housing and credit markets and sought to assure jittery Americans that the economy is holding up well, despite worries about a recession. Nevertheless, some Americans are unsure whether the housing slump and higher mortgage costs could lead to a recession, as well as the extent the subprime mortgage crisis will have on housing in the coming months.

  • Banking on lower interest rates. While the Fed's recent rate cut by a quarter-percentage point may have provided a psychological boost to the markets, many analysts and builders think it will take more cuts — and more time — before the housing market recovers, analysts say. Buyer takes this as: “Maybe we should wait for more interest rate cuts then.”

    Seeing through these unfortunate misconceptions can make all the difference in owning the best home at the best price in today's changing market.

Read: What Buyers Need to Know by Blanche Evans

Home Styles: Art Deco

The 1925 Paris Exhibition Internationale des Arts Decoratifs launched the Art Deco style, which echoed the Machine Age with geometric decorative elements and a vertically oriented design. This distinctly urban style was never widely used in residential buildings; it was more widespread in public and commercial buildings of the period.

Towers and other projections above the roofline enhance the vertical emphasis of this style, which was popularized by Hollywood movies of the 1930s. Flat roofs, metal window casements, and smooth stucco walls with rectangular cut-outs mark the exteriors of Art Deco homes. Facades are typically flush with zigzags and other stylized floral, geometric, and "sunrise" motifs. By 1940 the Art Deco style had evolved into "Art Moderne," which features curved corners, rectangular glass-block windows, and a boat-like appearance. Popularized in the United States by Finnish architect Eliel Saarinen, the style enjoyed a revival in the 1980s.

Click here for a complete guide to architectural styles

Tell a Friend

If you know someone who may benefit from our monthly market update please forward this page. To sign up for our free, no obligation, market update click here: Market Update SignUp

 

 

Home Mortgage Rates Forecast to Rise


For the last seven years prospective home buyers have been waiting patiently for a turn in the market in their favor.

Last month--about a year behind the rest of the country--it finally happened. We now have a growing inventory of between 6,000 and 7,000 homes with price reductions being taken all across the board. Sellers are taking offers well below the asking price when only last year it was difficult to buy a home for the full asking price.

Now home mortgage interest rates are forecast to rise for the next four months, at least.

Will buyers ever get a break?

Sure. This is a great time to lock in a rate. That way buyers can take advantage of a buyers' market without having to act in haste to avoid the coming rate hikes. (see Blanche Evans' article lower right)

A rate lock or a rate commitment is a lender's promise to hold a certain interest rate and a certain number of points for you for a specified period of time while your application is processed. This prevents you from going through your whole application process and at the end of it finding out the interest rate has gone up.

Here are three local lenders that can provide rate locks:

Bill Powell
AVP, Mortgage Officer
TD Banknorth
343 Delaware Ave.
Delmar NY 12054
Tel: (518) 439-4426
Cell: (518) 588-6756
Toll Free: (800) 358-2651
Fax: (518) 439-5513
william.powell@tdbanknorth.com http://www.tdbanknorthmortgage.com/bpowell

Carman Valoze
501 New Karner Rd
Albany, NY 12205
First Rate Funding
(518)452-4700x30
1(866)899-4700x30
cvaloze@firstratefunding.net .

MEM Financial Solutions, LLC
200-202 STATE STREET SCHENECTADY, NY 12303
Phone: (518) 348-1096
HDQTR Fax: 866-203-9816
E-mail: lea123@nycap.rr.com

Click for mortgage rate complete forecast

Inclusion in this list does not constitute a recommendation.

Fed Cuts Rates to Stabilize Home Prices

Yesterday (Oct 31st) the Federal Reserve lowered the overnight rates 1/4 point from 4.75% to 4.5%. This move is intended to stop the downward spiral of home prices precipitated by the sub-prime mortgage crisis.
Unfortunately, this may not happen, or not in the near future, since mortgage rates are not tied to the index controlled by the Central Bank but rather a reflection of the bond market, international investment, and complex supply & demand factors.

What it does demonstrate is our government's commitment to a sound housing market that acts to preserve the wealth of individuals through our principal asset: the American Home.

If nothing else, this should provide a little certainty at in an uncertain time.

click for complete article by Randall Forsyth of Barron's

Market Update

Market Statistics as of November 1, 2007

This graph represents average sale versus list prices

October stats show a further decline in the average list and selling prices. However, The average sale price of $228,693 is still more than the median price of $200,500 indicating a propensity of higher priced sales pulling up the average.

In addition, both the average sale price and list prices are still above both 2005 and 2006 average sale and list prices though the number of sales has declined significantly.

Mortgage Rates and Trends

The link to up to the minute New York State mortgage information seems to work better than presenting the actual graph.

Click for up to the minute mortgage rate information

Buyers' versus Sellers' Market Report

The graph above shows the number of sales in a given month divided by the number of homes on the market in the four main counties of the Capital Region. This ratio can be used to determine whether we are in a buyers' or sellers' market as indicated in Dennis Maier's article on Market Timing featured in eZine Real Estate. In general, if it would (theoretically) take less than 6 1/2 months to sell the current inventory it's a sellers' market. If it would take more than 9 months to sell all the homes on the market it's a buyers' market.
As you can see, last month the market favored buyers. As of November 1, the market has turned back to a more balanced market. Which we light heartedly refer to a Realtor's market

Archives

We've been asked to again include links to past market updates. But since our stories link to other web sites over which we have no control we only want to link to our most recent issues. Otherwise, the article links may fail to work as they once did.

We hope you have enjoyed this month's Market Update. If you have any comments, questions, or suggestions on topics you would like to see covered please email them to Dennis J. Maier Principal Realtor Broker Real Estate New York at DennisM@RENY.net